As the clock ticks down to the start of COP26, the challenges facing efforts to deliver action to avert dangerous climate change are coming into sharp focus.
The summit, taking place in Glasgow from tomorrow, has no global treaty to agree – unlike the last major UN climate conference in Paris in 2015. But it is being described as the conference that must deliver on the Paris Agreement and its key pledge to limit global warming to well below 2C or 1.5C to avoid the worst impacts of global warming.
The talks come in the wake of “code red” scientific warnings on the climate crisis and the risk of going over 1.5C of warming, and severe climate-related weather extremes from heatwaves in the US to deadly flooding in Europe and China.
Earlier this week, UN scientists warned the build-up of planet-warming greenhouse gases in the atmosphere had sped up and hit record levels in 2020. So a key factor in making Glasgow a “success” is keeping the pathway to 1.5C within reach by increasing climate action in this decade, with more national efforts from countries, progress on areas such as coal and saving forests, and a process to ensure countries take more action in the next few years.
READ MORE: Nicola Sturgeon and Boris Johnson to put differences aside to make COP26 'roaring success'
It is a goal made arguably harder by the latest climate plan submitted by China on Thursday, which does not increase its ambition beyond existing announcements. There is also the question of the longpromised 100 billion US dollars a year from 2020-2025 for poorer nations to develop cleanly and adapt to the changing climate, and negotiations to finalise the last bits of how the Paris Agreement will work. It has emerged developed countries will not deliver on the $100 billion goal until 2023, although around $500bn of climate finance will be provided over five years to 2025.
Peter Betts, former lead negotiator for the EU, and the UK, at UN climate talks, said: “Defining success in Glasgow is harder than it was in Paris, where we had a treaty to wave at the end. Success in Glasgow is more about implementation and action.”
He said that on efforts to curb warming “we need very substantial step-ups in countries’ emission reduction plans, coupled with serious sectoral coalitions on issues like finance and coal, and a road map to more ambition-raising in the coming years.
“On finance it means the $100bn goal being met, with better delivery for the most vulnerable including on adaptation,” adding he expected developing countries to press for discussion on the delay to the delivery of the promised funding in Glasgow. Importantly, he said, the Paris COP21 was successful – despite insufficient commitments – because people saw governments were serious and that drove action.
READ MORE: Extinction Rebellion lock on to Glasgow University gates ahead of COP26
“We need the same boost to momentum from Glasgow,” he said. World leaders will kick start the summit by setting out the domestic action they are taking. But a year’s delay to the talks as a result of the pandemic has allowed for the election of a new US President Joe Biden, who has announced a net zero goal, and a significant boost to climate finance.
All G7 leading industrialised nations have targets to hit net zero emissions along with major polluters such as China, and in the past few days from the likes of Saudi Arabia and Australia, though critics question how robust these targets are. Statements from blocs of countries ahead of the talks suggest fault lines that will be familiar to anyone who has attended UN climate conferences in the past – along questions over which countries should take what action and how it should be paid for.
G20 countries which have not brought forward new or updated plans – or ones that are insufficient – are under pressure from others to increase action. But leading emerging economies have pushed back against efforts to get all countries to adopt net zero targets for 2050, saying developed countries should do more. Then there are the negotiations on the final – thorny – issues of carbon markets and transparency under the Paris Agreement, not to mention the logistical challenges of holding a global summit of 25,000 people while the pandemic still rages.
Why are you making commenting on The Herald only available to subscribers?
It should have been a safe space for informed debate, somewhere for readers to discuss issues around the biggest stories of the day, but all too often the below the line comments on most websites have become bogged down by off-topic discussions and abuse.
heraldscotland.com is tackling this problem by allowing only subscribers to comment.
We are doing this to improve the experience for our loyal readers and we believe it will reduce the ability of trolls and troublemakers, who occasionally find their way onto our site, to abuse our journalists and readers. We also hope it will help the comments section fulfil its promise as a part of Scotland's conversation with itself.
We are lucky at The Herald. We are read by an informed, educated readership who can add their knowledge and insights to our stories.
That is invaluable.
We are making the subscriber-only change to support our valued readers, who tell us they don't want the site cluttered up with irrelevant comments, untruths and abuse.
In the past, the journalist’s job was to collect and distribute information to the audience. Technology means that readers can shape a discussion. We look forward to hearing from you on heraldscotland.com
Comments & Moderation
Readers’ comments: You are personally liable for the content of any comments you upload to this website, so please act responsibly. We do not pre-moderate or monitor readers’ comments appearing on our websites, but we do post-moderate in response to complaints we receive or otherwise when a potential problem comes to our attention. You can make a complaint by using the ‘report this post’ link . We may then apply our discretion under the user terms to amend or delete comments.
Post moderation is undertaken full-time 9am-6pm on weekdays, and on a part-time basis outwith those hours.
Read the rules hereLast Updated:
Report this comment Cancel