Police officer cutbacks are leaving Scotland exposed to organised crime, extremism, and terrorism, ministers have been told.
The general secretary of the Scottish Police Federation said a breakdown in community policing is eroding “crucial” intelligence gathering.
David Kennedy's warning comes amid a raft of challenges facing the national force, with a decrease in full-time officers to the lowest level in 15 years, plans to close 29 local stations, a policy of not investigating some ‘minor’ crimes, and the impact of resourcing new hate crime legislation.
Last month, senior police officers warned that enforcing the SNP’s hate crime law risks diverting officers from tackling violent offenders.
READ MORE: SNP forced to reveal costs of police complaints overhaul
Members of the professional body that represents some of the most significant figures in Police Scotland also said that the bill threatened to fuel claims of “institutional bias” against the force.
The Association of Scottish Police Superintendents said there was “enough anger and hateful bile online to occupy every police officer in Scotland” and raised concerns about a pledge that all complaints would have to be investigated to determine whether a crime had taken place.
The Scottish Government said Police Scotland received “record” funding of £1.55 billion for 2024/25, an increase of £92.7 million.
But the latest edition of justice publication 1919 Magazine, out today (TUE), highlights fears that the force is becoming “increasingly reactive, not proactive”.
READ MORE: Explained: What are Scotland's new Hate Crime Laws?
Since the creation of Police Scotland in April 2013, numbers have dropped from 17,324 to 16,363 - 250 less than the previous quarter.
Mr Kennedy - the head of the organisation representing rank and file police officers - said if there are further drops, that could see an increase in organised crime activity.
"Community policing is the cornerstone of the police service," he told 1919 Magazine.
"The bottom line is the intelligence on organised crime groups (OCGs) and terrorism comes from the communities.
"If you don't have community police officers out there patrolling and picking up on that intelligence, then they're missing out on so much.
"We're finding OCGs coming in from far away, entering communities, knowing there's no police, and actually setting up whatever they want to do knowing that nobody knows.
"There's nobody knocking on the door. Or even saying, 'how are you doing?'
"It's basics and we are totally missing out on that. And that is the basics that you pick up when officers would deal with shopkeepers; deal with schools.
"The intelligence you pick up from interacting with kids during a (road) crossing is unbelievable."
Mr Kennedy added: "You don't wake up one day and say, 'I'm going to rob a bank' or, 'I'm going to make a bomb.'
"It starts at the low-level - people doing the small things.
"My biggest fear is we are falling into the trap that we can only go to the big things. And then what will happen is maybe not today, but five or 10 years' time, we're going to have really bad criminals within Scotland."
A spokesperson for the Scottish Government pointed to a near £100 million increase in police funding in this financial year - up from £1.46 billion to £1.55 billion.
"The chief constable confirmed that this investment would enable Police Scotland to restart recruitment, and they recruited almost 200 new police officers last month," they said.
"Scotland continues to have more police officers per head of population than England and Wales.
"Police Scotland continues to dispose of properties no longer fit for purpose or required for operational policing, while at the same time reinvesting in purpose-built properties to deliver modern premises capable of delivering more joined-up public services.
"Decisions on the deployment of resources are a matter for the chief constable."
Speaking in February at a meeting of the Scottish Police Authority board, Police Scotland Chief Constable Jo Farrell said: "Our primary investment will always be in police officers.
"As chief constable, entrusted with significant public funding, I have a duty to ensure I maximise the number of experienced officers available to the frontline through the right investment in non-warranted support."
Scottish Tory MSP Murdo Fraser said: "Rank and file officers correctly highlight the perfect storm that the SNP have created due to years of shamefully neglecting Scottish policing, coupled with the absurd new Hate Crime Act.
"It stands to reason that organised crime will flourish and the threat of extremism grow if officer numbers are at their lowest level since 2008 and police stations are closing up and down Scotland.
"These brutal cuts have forced the police to abandon investigating certain crimes at the same time as they are being deluged with thousands of fresh complaints - many of them spurious or vexatious - under the reckless Hate Crime Act."
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