Scottish Labour have pulled level with the SNP on voting intention for the general election, according to a new poll.
The survey from Redfield and Wilton Strategies found the parties were tied on 35% after the SNP slipped two percentage points in a month and Labour gained a point.
The Tories were down two points to 15%, the Liberal Democrats up one to 8%, the Greens up two to 4%, and Reform unchanged at 2%.
Pollster Mark McGeoghegan said different seat projections from the results predicted different outcomes. "Lots of urban and central belt marginals in these models, so a high degree of uncertainty," he wrote.
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The poll also indicated an improved picture for the SNP on the Holyrood vote.
On the constituency vote, the SNP were up three points to 39% since August, Labour on 30% (-2), the Tories 16% (-3), the LibDems unchanged on 8%, the Greens 3% (+1), Reform 3% (+2) and Alba unchanged on 1%.
However on the regional list, Labour were unchanged on 30%, the SNP were down four points to 25%, the Tories on 15% (-3), the LibDems 9% (-1), Alba 4% (+2), and Reform unchanged on 3%.
On independence, 49% (+1) of Scots would vote No if there was a referendum tomorrow, compared to 44% (-1) backing Yes.
However Scots were evenly split on whether to hold Indyref2 in the next 12 months, with 42% saying they would support a ballot, while 42% opposed.
SNP and Labour are TIED in Scotland.
— Redfield & Wilton Strategies (@RedfieldWilton) September 6, 2023
Scotland Westminster VI (2-4 September):
SNP 35% (-2)
Labour 35% (+1)
Conservative 15% (-2)
Lib Dem 8% (+1)
Green 4% (+2)
Reform 2% (–)
Other 1% (–)
Changes +/- 5-6 Augusthttps://t.co/LEw1GVdqBs pic.twitter.com/8Jf6iNJN51
The poll also found First Minister Humza Yousaf had a net approval rating of -8, while Prime Minister Rishi Sunak was on -20 and Labour leader Keir Starmer on +5.
Despite Mr Yousaf’s negative rating, 37% of Scots think he would do a better job as first minister than Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar, while 29% disagreed.
Compared to Douglas Ross, 42% of Scots said Mr Yousaf would do a better job, while 27% backed the Scottish Tory leader.
Scottish Labour deputy leader Jackie Baillie said: "The polls are clear - it's neck and neck between Scottish Labour and the SNP.
"While the SNP offer only rehashed ideas, failure and sleaze, Scottish Labour is offering a fresh start for the people of Scotland.
"It's time for change and Scottish Labour is determined to deliver it."
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SNP Depute Leader Keith Brown: “The SNP remains the major political force in Scotland but we remain committed to working every day to deliver for the people of Scotland - and to fight for every vote.
“Humza Yousaf remains the people’s choice as First Minister by a considerable distance and his focus on the environment and a strong economy shows he is bang on the priorities of the people of Scotland.
“Support for independence is particularly strong amongst younger voters - with two thirds of 25-34 year olds convinced of the benefits of having the full powers of a normal independent county.
“The case for independence has never been stronger, set against the backdrop of a Tory government wrecking the economy and a Labour Party that backs deeply damaging Brexit. We already know that our small independent neighbours are wealthier and happier - so why not Scotland?”
Pamela Nash, chief executive of Scotland in Union, said: “This is yet another poll affirming the people of Scotland want to remain in the UK. It’s time for the SNP-Green Government to get back to the day job instead of spending our money on trying to break up Britain.”
Redfield and Wilton Strategies polled 1100 Scots between September 2 and 4.
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