Controversial retail billionaire Mike Ashley has reportedly got Dundee’s Overgate Centre on his shopping list as merchants try to find their way in a sector that is arguably facing the greatest upheaval since markets first developed in ancient Greece way back in 800 BC.
News of the forthcoming shopping spree by Frasers Group, majority-owned by Mr Ashley, emerged yesterday as it was also confirmed that one of Scotland’s best-known clothing chains is set to close all of its 170 stores this spring. The announcement came after Renfrewshire-based M&Co appointed administrators for the second time at the end of last year, having previously collapsed in 2020.
These two developments are in some ways different sides of the same coin. Catering primarily to older shoppers who don’t want to travel into city centres or shop online, M&Co was undoubtedly fighting a losing demographic battle, yet ultimately history will most likely consign it to the long list of retailers felled by the Covid pandemic.
The loss of former giants such as Debenhams, the Arcadia stable of Topshop, Topman and Miss Selfridge, and dozens upon dozens of others hollowed out many a high street and shopping centre which in turn sent the value of these properties plummeting. This is where Mr Ashley steps in. Widely known for driving the hardest of bargains, the owner of Sports Direct and former owner of Newcastle United football club is said to be looking to pay a fraction of the former value of Dundee’s main shopping centre.
Mr Ashley has grown his influence in the retail industry in recent years by taking stakes in chains such as USC, French Connection and Blacks. He purchased what was then known as House of Fraser for £90m after the 169-year-old department store collapsed into administration in 2020. Frasers now has stakes in Asos, Hugo Boss and N Brown.
In addition to Newcastle United, Mr Ashley has also had boardroom dealings with Rangers FC. Latest accounts from the Glasgow sporting giants show that the club paid out £8.25m last year to sever relations with the Sports Direct owner.
READ MORE: Rangers loses right to £2.8m of merchandise income due to Mike Ashley legal block
In 2000 Mr Ashley handed over to the Office of Fair Trading evidence of business meetings by sports retailers to fix the price of football shirts. Sixteen years later he was called before the Business, Innovation and Skills Committee to answer questions from MPs about working conditions in his Sports Direct warehouses, including claims that he paid less than minimum wage.
Given his renowned parsimony, sources have been quoted as saying there is “no guarantee” that the foray into shopping centres will go ahead. But as things stand, Frasers is thought to be in “advanced talks” on a £30 million deal to buy the Overgate along with the £70m acquisition of The Mall in Luton.
If so, the Overgate transaction would represent a significant loss for current owner Legal & General which bought the centre nine years ago from commercial property investment heavyweight Landsec for £125m. Mr Ashley and his son-in-law Michael Murray, who has taken over as chief executive of Frasers, are banking that the fall-out in the sector is stabilising.
Perhaps so, but the messages at the moment are certainly mixed. Supermarket groups and the likes of Marks & Spencer and Next issued buoyant festive trading updates last month, while more recently the owners of Glasgow’s Silverburn announced a number of new leases along with a deal to renew with Next.
The Scottish Retail Consortium (SRC) reported that total sales across the country were up by 11.3 per cent in December on the same period a year earlier. Even after stripping out the impact of double-digit inflation, sales were 3.9% higher, the best outcome recorded in three years.
Yet across the UK as a whole, sales volumes fell by 1% month-on-month in December, confounding expectations of a 0.5% rise as the cost-of-living crisis began to bite. And despite the better outturn in Scotland, SRC director David Lonsdale has warned that retail is “far from being out of the woods”.
READ MORE: Will consumers pay price for Christmas sales bonanza?
“It’s an industry in transition with retailers navigating their own cost crunch, cash-conscious consumers, and the twin challenges of the economic legacy of Covid and inflationary pressures,” he cautioned last month.
“With the spotlight turning to the year ahead the fact is many of these headwinds remain, requiring policymakers to show dexterity towards keeping a tight lid on the regulatory costs under their control.”
Even the seemingly invincible Amazon is feeling the inflationary stress, having said in January that it is closing three UK warehouses with the loss of 1,200 jobs, including 300 in Gourock. The announcement came just days after the e-commerce giant said it would axe 18,000 jobs from its global workforce – the largest number in its history – due to economic uncertainties.
It could be argued that the shift towards online retailing that dramatically accelerated during the pandemic is abating as consumers re-discover the joy of tangible shopping. There is an element of truth to this, but the reality is that digital will be a key priority in the new landscape.
READ MORE: Amazon to close Gourock plant with loss of 300 jobs
Almost solely reliant on high street footfall away from main retail locations, M&Co was too late to the online revolution. Even Primark, which for years dismissed digital, is now working on a strategy to connect the journey between searching online and actual stock in stores.
So the question is whether this will all translate into the rebound for shopping centres that Mr Ashley is betting on.
According to data from MSCI Real Assets, about £8 billion has been wiped off the value of UK shopping centres since June 2018, a decline of 67%. At the price of £30m that is being suggested, the value of the 420,000sq ft Overgate has fallen by 76% since it was bought by Legal & General in 2014.
Even in the face of prevailing headwinds, that looks good value for money. Throw in the potential synergies with Mr Ashley’s existing retail portfolio – much of which was acquired in distress sales – and this looks a classic play from the Sports Direct tycoon.
Why are you making commenting on The Herald only available to subscribers?
It should have been a safe space for informed debate, somewhere for readers to discuss issues around the biggest stories of the day, but all too often the below the line comments on most websites have become bogged down by off-topic discussions and abuse.
heraldscotland.com is tackling this problem by allowing only subscribers to comment.
We are doing this to improve the experience for our loyal readers and we believe it will reduce the ability of trolls and troublemakers, who occasionally find their way onto our site, to abuse our journalists and readers. We also hope it will help the comments section fulfil its promise as a part of Scotland's conversation with itself.
We are lucky at The Herald. We are read by an informed, educated readership who can add their knowledge and insights to our stories.
That is invaluable.
We are making the subscriber-only change to support our valued readers, who tell us they don't want the site cluttered up with irrelevant comments, untruths and abuse.
In the past, the journalist’s job was to collect and distribute information to the audience. Technology means that readers can shape a discussion. We look forward to hearing from you on heraldscotland.com
Comments & Moderation
Readers’ comments: You are personally liable for the content of any comments you upload to this website, so please act responsibly. We do not pre-moderate or monitor readers’ comments appearing on our websites, but we do post-moderate in response to complaints we receive or otherwise when a potential problem comes to our attention. You can make a complaint by using the ‘report this post’ link . We may then apply our discretion under the user terms to amend or delete comments.
Post moderation is undertaken full-time 9am-6pm on weekdays, and on a part-time basis outwith those hours.
Read the rules hereLast Updated:
Report this comment Cancel