THE public were given little warning of the ferocity of the storms that ravished swathes of Scotland's Central Belt yesterday as forecasters scrambled to update their advice in the face of rapidly worsening conditions.
The Met Office, which provides forecasts to the Scottish Government, changed its weather warning from "amber" to "red" at 8.14am as it became clear that the winds bearing down on the west of Scotland were stronger than had been anticipated. But that was only after gusts of 91mph had been recorded at Glasgow Airport.
Two hours later, as the storm drove east, wind speeds of 102mph were recorded at Blackford Hill in Edinburgh, the third highest on record.
The situation contrasted sharply with the storms of December 8 last year, which were preceded by clear warnings from the Met Office and the Scottish Government a day earlier to avoid all travel where possible.
In the event, although the December storm saw a slightly higher maximum wind speed, yesterday's storm had a far more devastating impact as the highest winds were concentrated in urban areas of the Central Belt. In Edinburgh, the highest gusts were 25mph faster than those recorded in December.
A major difference between the two weather systems was the speed with which yesterday's high winds developed, helped by a meteorological phenomenon known as a "sting jet", Helen Chivers, a spokeswoman for the Met Office said.
The phenomenon, which is responsible for some of the most damaging storms in Europe, is characterised by a hook-shaped cloud in which a jet of accelerating air descends from the cloud head, picking up speed as it goes. It is thought to have added around 25mph to yesterday's wind speeds, according to some forecasters.
"It is a factor. It happens very rapidly, hence you end up with a very rapid increase in wind speeds and, equally, it dies down again very quickly. So we had two to three hours of very strong winds in a very narrow area," Ms Chivers said.
"It's the timing in a weather system that can be difficult to predict. Sting jets are not common and it's being able to time that very rapid increase in wind speed where you know you have the atmospheric conditions for that to happen. It doesn't happen every time you get a depression."
The first "yellow" warning, advising the public to be aware of potential problems, was issued by the Met Office on Sunday but upgraded to an amber warning on Monday lunchtime, with the public advised to "be prepared".
The warnings are graded according to the likely impact on houses, people and travel networks rather than triggered simply by wind speeds, the Met Office said.
The latest "red" warning, advising the public to take action, was issued as forecasters confirmed the storm would be concentrated over densely populated areas in central Scotland, a spokesman said.
That left the Scottish Government with little time to update the public.
An announcement was made by its agency, Transport Scotland, on Monday afternoon but by the time the next press release was issued after noon yesterday, the worst effects of the storm had passed.
A Government spokeswoman said yesterday a meeting of the Multi-Agency Response Team, involving the Scottish Government and emergency services, had been held on Monday afternoon after the amber warning was received from the Met Office.
"Both the Scottish Government Resilience Room and the Multi-Agency Response Team were operating before the Met Office Red warning this morning," the spokeswoman said.
Why are you making commenting on The Herald only available to subscribers?
It should have been a safe space for informed debate, somewhere for readers to discuss issues around the biggest stories of the day, but all too often the below the line comments on most websites have become bogged down by off-topic discussions and abuse.
heraldscotland.com is tackling this problem by allowing only subscribers to comment.
We are doing this to improve the experience for our loyal readers and we believe it will reduce the ability of trolls and troublemakers, who occasionally find their way onto our site, to abuse our journalists and readers. We also hope it will help the comments section fulfil its promise as a part of Scotland's conversation with itself.
We are lucky at The Herald. We are read by an informed, educated readership who can add their knowledge and insights to our stories.
That is invaluable.
We are making the subscriber-only change to support our valued readers, who tell us they don't want the site cluttered up with irrelevant comments, untruths and abuse.
In the past, the journalist’s job was to collect and distribute information to the audience. Technology means that readers can shape a discussion. We look forward to hearing from you on heraldscotland.com
Comments & Moderation
Readers’ comments: You are personally liable for the content of any comments you upload to this website, so please act responsibly. We do not pre-moderate or monitor readers’ comments appearing on our websites, but we do post-moderate in response to complaints we receive or otherwise when a potential problem comes to our attention. You can make a complaint by using the ‘report this post’ link . We may then apply our discretion under the user terms to amend or delete comments.
Post moderation is undertaken full-time 9am-6pm on weekdays, and on a part-time basis outwith those hours.
Read the rules hereComments are closed on this article