CLIMATE change remains a hugely emotive topic around the world, with awareness and activism both surging in recent months. But while many might be aware of the Paris Agreement to limit global average temperatures and the UK’s recent pledge to be carbon neutral by 2050, it remains to be seen how far these goals are understood in practical terms.
We have looked to see what this net zero emissions target means for the average person in the UK, who directly emits 10 tonnes of carbon dioxide a year. Broken down, approximately 5.7 tonnes of this is from transport, 2.7 tonnes from heating with natural gas and a further 1.6 tonnes from the electricity used in the home.
If people are so minded, there are a few simple steps to reduce these figures almost immediately.
Taking electricity first, moving to a 100 per cent renewable provider (of which there are a growing number in the UK) can be done instantaneously and, for the most part, for the same price as existing tariffs. This ensures all the electricity people need is supplied to the grid via renewable sources and moving to such a provider reduces the annual emission by 1.4 tonnes.
On the heating side, ensuring homes are properly insulated can cut another 0.5 tonnes off that annual emission level – and while this work will mean an initial outlay of a few hundred pounds, the saving on future heating bills should more than offset that in fairly short order.
Coming finally to the transport question, electric vehicles (EVs) will become significantly cheaper as all the main car manufacturers bring more affordable EVs to market in the next few years. The charging infrastructure is also being expanded at pace.
As these two barriers to adoption are reduced, we believe EVs will take a meaningful share of the car market. Moving to an EV shaves a further 1.7 tonnes off the annual level, and again, while there is a cost question at the purchase stage, there are considerable ongoing savings versus running a petrol or diesel car.
According to data from British Gas, for a small family hatchback over 10,000 miles, the average price per mile is 4.1 pence for an EV versus 18p for a petrol car, while a large diesel vehicle is considerably more expensive. Figures do vary according to car model and various other factors, including charging at home versus a public point.
A final measure is cutting down airline flights where possible and, as a last resort, offsetting the impact where you have to travel, which can take another 1.7 tonnes off the total.
There are two main types of offsetting projects: investing in renewable energy projects or for the more horticulturally minded out there, either stopping existing trees being cut down or planting new ones.
If we take all these measures together, it is easy to more than halve the average person’s direct carbon emissions in the UK. In this example, it removes a total of 5.4 tonnes off the average annual emission of 10 – and with the possible exception of changing cars, these are all steps that can be taken in a few days, without excessive cost and with very little discernible impact on our daily lives.
Looking at the wider picture, getting to zero emissions requires halving current global emissions by 2030, halving again by 2040 and then halving/offsetting the rest by 2050. To be clear, current regulatory demands would produce nowhere near that kind of reduction and we predict much tighter global policies on emissions in the years ahead.
This is likely to create opportunities for companies on the right side of this energy transition, including those providing renewable energy, smartening our ageing grid infrastructure and providing more efficient transport, as well as waste sorting, treatment and recycling and innovations to reduce the carbon intensity of industrial processes.
In contrast, companies that produce carbon-intensive products or services will increasingly find themselves on the wrong side of regulation.
In electricity generation, we see huge risks to coal, for example, which is effectively dead as it is the most carbon-polluting way to generate electricity.
Wind and solar are now the cheapest ways to generate electricity in many countries, including the UK, and this should logically translate into even higher demand for renewables: it not only makes sense economically but is also the answer to reducing the carbon intensity of the electricity we use.
We believe the magnitude and pace of this change is underestimated and will be a major driver of investment returns over the next decade and beyond.
Mike Appleby is an investment manager on the Liontrust Sustainable Investment Team.
Why are you making commenting on The Herald only available to subscribers?
It should have been a safe space for informed debate, somewhere for readers to discuss issues around the biggest stories of the day, but all too often the below the line comments on most websites have become bogged down by off-topic discussions and abuse.
heraldscotland.com is tackling this problem by allowing only subscribers to comment.
We are doing this to improve the experience for our loyal readers and we believe it will reduce the ability of trolls and troublemakers, who occasionally find their way onto our site, to abuse our journalists and readers. We also hope it will help the comments section fulfil its promise as a part of Scotland's conversation with itself.
We are lucky at The Herald. We are read by an informed, educated readership who can add their knowledge and insights to our stories.
That is invaluable.
We are making the subscriber-only change to support our valued readers, who tell us they don't want the site cluttered up with irrelevant comments, untruths and abuse.
In the past, the journalist’s job was to collect and distribute information to the audience. Technology means that readers can shape a discussion. We look forward to hearing from you on heraldscotland.com
Comments & Moderation
Readers’ comments: You are personally liable for the content of any comments you upload to this website, so please act responsibly. We do not pre-moderate or monitor readers’ comments appearing on our websites, but we do post-moderate in response to complaints we receive or otherwise when a potential problem comes to our attention. You can make a complaint by using the ‘report this post’ link . We may then apply our discretion under the user terms to amend or delete comments.
Post moderation is undertaken full-time 9am-6pm on weekdays, and on a part-time basis outwith those hours.
Read the rules here